Overview
- Forecasts show scattered showers increasing Thursday and Friday with the most widespread and heaviest rainfall expected this weekend as a cold front stalls near the coast.
- The highest flood risk is focused along and south of the stalled boundary from southeast Louisiana into coastal Mississippi, south Alabama and the Florida Panhandle where models suggest common totals of 2–4 inches and localized 5-inch-plus amounts.
- Agencies and local stations have posted Impact or Alert Days for Friday through Sunday to warn of disruptive outdoor conditions and potential street and flash flooding where storms train over the same neighborhoods.
- Meteorologists stress that intense rainfall rates of about 1–3 inches per hour are the main hazard while the chance of widespread severe thunderstorms is low, and that cooler, drier air will arrive behind the front.
- Forecast uncertainty remains in the exact placement of the heaviest corridor so residents should monitor updates from the NWS and local weather teams and plan for travel delays, event cancellations, and localized flooding this weekend.