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Heatwave Meltwater Drives Annual Earthquake Surge at Mont-Blanc

A July 2025 study shows intensified glacier and permafrost melt since 2015 has increased quake risk beneath Mont-Blanc by up to 100-fold.

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Overview

  • Researchers led by Verena Simon at ETH Zürich have documented a strong annual pattern of earthquakes beneath the Grandes Jorasses that began in autumn 2015.
  • Analysis reveals that surface meltwater infiltrates a major fault zone exposed by the Mont-Blanc Tunnel, altering pore pressures and triggering seismic events.
  • Intensified heatwaves since 2015 have accelerated glacier and permafrost melt, creating new pathways for subsurface water to destabilize rock formations.
  • The study published in Earth and Planetary Science Letters finds that quake hazard beneath the Mont-Blanc Massif can surge up to 100 times during peak meltwater flow.
  • The research team urges an urgent reassessment of Alpine seismic hazard models and preparedness measures for mountain communities.