Overview

• In the first half of 2025, heat pump sales rose 55 percent to about 139,500 units, surpassing gas boiler installations for the first time
• Overall heating system sales fell 22 percent to 296,500 units as gas installations declined 41 percent to 132,500 units and oil systems plunged 81 percent to 10,500 units
• Industry associations are urging the federal government to secure funding in the Climate and Transformation Fund to maintain current heating subsidies
• Consumers are hesitating over new heating installations because of complex installation rules, pending municipal heat planning and uncertainty about the 2027 EU emissions trading scheme
• The Bundesverband der Deutschen Heizungsindustrie forecasts around 250,000 heat pump sales in 2025, only half of the government’s 500,000-unit target