Overview

• According to a new Harvard poll, fewer young voters plan to vote in the 2024 election compared to the 2020 election, with the largest declines seen among Republicans and independents.
• Despite a decrease in enthusiasm, President Biden still holds a lead over former President Trump among young voters, but this lead narrows significantly when potential independent candidates are factored in.
• Young voters who support Biden are primarily motivated by opposition to Trump rather than support for Biden and his policies.
• Declines in voting intention were more pronounced among young Black and Hispanic Americans, groups that were key to Biden's success in 2020.
• Independent candidates, such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Joe Manchin, and Cornel West, could potentially draw votes away from Biden.