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Harris Leads California Governor Poll as 40% of Voters Remain Undecided

Her late-summer announcement will define the Democratic landscape for California’s 2026 primary.

Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the State of the People POWER Tour opening ceremony on June 6, 2025 in Los Angeles, California.
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Former Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at the State of the People POWER Tour opening ceremony on June 6, 2025 in Los Angeles, California. The ten city State of the People POWER Tour is a national campaign aimed at ‘uniting Black communities through healing, direct relief, and power building.’ (Photo by Mario Tama/Getty Images)

Overview

  • A University of California, Irvine survey released July 2 finds Harris leading with 24% support, followed by Rick Caruso at 9% and Katie Porter at 6%.
  • Forty percent of respondents are undecided, including 52% of independents and 38% of Republicans.
  • Harris holds a +11 net favorability rating and leads in name recognition, though her backing remains below a majority.
  • Voters say California is on the wrong track by a two-to-one margin and prioritize housing, cost of living and crime as their top concerns.
  • Her announcement by the end of summer will determine whether her early lead narrows the Democratic primary field.