Hamburg Prepares for Closely Watched State Election

The SPD leads in polls, while the CDU and Greens vie for second place in a race that could reshape coalition dynamics.

Hamburg's Bürgerschaftswahl will take place on March 2, 2025, with voters selecting at least 120 representatives for the state parliament.
The SPD, led by incumbent Mayor Peter Tschentscher, is polling at 31–33%, positioning the party as the frontrunner to retain leadership.
The CDU and Greens are locked in a tight contest for second place, with the CDU narrowly ahead at 17–18% compared to the Greens' 16–17%.
The CDU is campaigning for a coalition with the SPD, aiming to replace the current SPD-Green alliance, while the Greens emphasize their progressive agenda to maintain their role in government.
Other parties, including the Left, AfD, and FDP, face varying prospects, with the FDP at risk of failing to meet the 5% threshold for parliamentary representation.