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Halloween Box Office Forecast: Weak Weekend Sees 'Black Phone 2,' 'Bugonia' Expansion and Netflix's 'Kpop Demon Hunters' Reissue Vie for No. 1

Friday Halloween timing is expected to cut into moviegoing.

Overview

  • Forecasters expect a notably soft weekend because Halloween falls on Friday, with lighter traffic Friday and a potential rebound Saturday.
  • Universal/Blumhouse’s Black Phone 2 is widely viewed as the likeliest winner, though some projections also peg Paramount’s Regretting You near the top around $7 million.
  • Netflix is reissuing Kpop Demon Hunters into about 2,890 theaters with AMC now participating, with rivals estimating roughly $6 million and some predictions reaching $8 million.
  • Focus Features is broadening Yorgos LanthimosBugonia from 17 sites to roughly 1,800 theaters, with industry expectations in the $4 million-plus range after strong early reviews and a high per-theater debut.
  • Sony/Crunchyroll’s Chainsaw Man is projected to tumble around 65%–70% in its second weekend, while catalog draws such as Back to the Future (including IMAX showings) and Twilight Saga entries join the lineup; all figures remain estimates.