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Half the World Endured an Extra Month of Extreme Heat as Forecasts Warn of New Temperature Records

An 86 percent probability of a one-year exceedance of the 1.5°C threshold by 2029 highlights escalating climate threats to vulnerable populations worldwide.

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FILE - Laborers sleep under a bridge during a hot summer day in Karachi, Pakistan, Thursday, July 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Fareed Khan,File)

Overview

  • A study by World Weather Attribution, Climate Central and the Red Cross Climate Centre found nearly 4 billion people experienced at least 30 additional days of extreme heat between May 2024 and May 2025.
  • The World Meteorological Organization and the UK Met Office project an 86 percent chance that global mean temperatures will exceed 1.5°C above preindustrial levels for at least one year between 2025 and 2029.
  • Global temperatures surpassed the 1.5°C threshold for the first time in 2024 and there is an 80 percent likelihood that a year between 2025 and 2029 will break that record.
  • Low-income communities, older adults and other vulnerable groups face disproportionate health risks as heatwaves become longer and more severe.
  • Experts warn that without rapid cuts to fossil fuel emissions, economic losses and damage to infrastructure will intensify alongside rising temperatures.