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Guinea Set to Vote Sunday as Coup Leader Doumbouya Poised to Win

A September constitution removing the military ban cleared a path for the junta chief.

FILE - Guinean soldiers secure the area outside a polling station before Gen. Mamadi Doumbouya arrives to cast his vote in the constitutional referendum, in Conakry, Guinea, Sunday, Sept. 21, 2025. (AP Photo/Misper Apawu, File)
Guinean leader Mamadi Doumbouya waves after submitting his candidacy at the Supreme Court ahead of the presidential election scheduled for December 28, in Conakry, Guinea, November 3, 2025. REUTERS/Luc Gnago/File Photo
FILE - Guinea's junta leader Col. Mamady Doumbouya watches over an independence day military parade in Bamako, Mali on Sept. 22, 2022. (AP Photo, File)
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Overview

  • The Dec. 28 presidential vote features nine approved candidates after prominent rivals were excluded or remain in exile.
  • The new charter extends the presidential mandate to seven years and lifted restrictions that had barred military leaders from running.
  • ECOWAS has deployed observers despite Guinea’s suspension since the 2021 coup, with provisional results expected within 48 hours and a possible runoff if no majority emerges.
  • Rights groups report bans on protests, arrests of critics and media curbs that they say create a climate of fear and constrain the campaign.
  • Doumbouya is campaigning on the newly launched Simandou iron ore project and resource-control moves, including revoking a major refinery license and transferring assets to a state firm.