Overview
- The House-passed measure to keep agencies funded through Nov. 21 lacks the Democratic votes needed to clear the Senate’s 60‑vote threshold, and both parties’ proposals failed in Senate votes Tuesday evening, with the House in recess limiting immediate changes.
- President Trump said a shutdown is “probably likely” and threatened program cuts and layoffs, as the Office of Management and Budget told agencies to prepare reduction‑in‑force plans.
- The Congressional Budget Office estimated about 750,000 federal employees could be furloughed daily in a lapse, with many others required to work without pay until funding resumes.
- FAA and TSA operations would continue but unpaid staffing has historically led to sick-outs and delays if a shutdown drags on, and travel groups warn losses could reach roughly $1 billion per week.
- Mandatory programs such as Social Security and Medicare would continue, while national parks and museums would close or scale back and agencies like the FDA, EPA and HUD would curtail inspections and services.