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Government Declares 2025 a ‘Goldilocks’ Year for India as Growth Quickens, Inflation Eases

A year-end assessment cites faster growth, softer prices, rising jobs, plus stronger exports.

Overview

  • Real GDP grew 8.2% in Q2 FY26, a six-quarter high driven by resilient domestic demand and broad-based gains in industry and services.
  • Consumer inflation slid from 4.26% in January to 0.71% in November, while wholesale inflation also cooled, reinforcing price stability.
  • The unemployment rate fell to 4.7% in November from 5.2% in October, with government data pointing to improved participation and hiring.
  • The Reserve Bank of India raised its FY26 growth forecast to 7.3% and cut the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%.
  • Merchandise and services exports strengthened through the year, foreign exchange reserves were reported at about $686.2 billion, and officials say India has moved to fourth-largest economy with a projection of $7.3 trillion GDP by 2030.