Particle.news

Download on the App Store

GOP Scrambles to Sell Unpopular One Big Beautiful Bill as Democrats Target Delayed Safety-Net Cuts

Polls showing net approval in the minus-20s have set the stage for an election-year showdown over its tax perks alongside postponed safety-net reforms

FILE - Sen. Majority Leader John Thune, R-S.D., talks after a policy luncheon on Wednesday, July 9, 2025, at the Capitol in Washington. (AP Photo/Mariam Zuhaib, File)
FILE – U.S. Rep. David Valadao, R-Calif., poses for a photo in Washington on Jan. 6, 2015. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin, File)
An oil pumpjack is seen near a field of wind turbines on October 4, 2023 in Nolan, Texas.
President Donald Trump signs his tax and budget bill from the South Lawn of the White House on July 4, in Washington, DC.

Overview

  • Recent polls show net approval ratings for the law ranging from minus-19 to minus-29 percentage points, making it one of the least popular measures enacted in decades.
  • Republicans have kicked off a nationwide messaging campaign with live events and ad buys to promote permanent tax cuts, new deductions for tips and overtime, and increased defense and border funding.
  • The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has rolled out ads in key battleground districts warning that work requirements and funding cuts to Medicaid and SNAP will begin after the 2026 midterms.
  • The Congressional Budget Office projects the legislation will add about $3.4 trillion to the deficit over ten years and strip Medicaid coverage from an estimated 11.8 million people by 2034.
  • GOP leaders timed the deepest safety-net reforms to take effect in 2027, a strategy designed to shield incumbents in swing states like Georgia and North Carolina from immediate voter backlash.