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Google Puts a Number on Gemini’s Footprint, Prompting Scrutiny of the Math

Independent experts say the unreviewed study likely understates real impacts due to excluded indirect water use plus market-based emissions.

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FILE - A data center owned by Amazon Web Services, front right, is under construction next to the Susquehanna nuclear power plant in Berwick, Pa., on Jan. 14, 2025. (AP Photo/Ted Shaffrey, file)
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Photo by American Public Power Association on Unsplash

Overview

  • Google’s technical report estimates a median Gemini text prompt uses 0.24 Wh of electricity, 0.26 mL of water, and emits 0.03 g CO2e.
  • The company says median per‑prompt energy fell about 33x and the carbon footprint about 44x from May 2024 to May 2025.
  • Its full‑stack method attributes roughly 58% of prompt electricity to TPUs, 25% to host CPU/RAM, 10% to idle capacity, and 8% to data‑center overhead.
  • Researchers challenge the figures for omitting water consumed in power generation, relying on market‑based rather than location‑based emissions, and using a median that can hide energy‑heavy queries; the results have not been independently verified or peer‑reviewed.
  • Despite per‑prompt gains, Google reports its total carbon footprint has grown 48% since 2019, and the new estimates cover only text prompts, not image or video generation or model training.