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Goldman’s David Solomon Warns of Market Drawdown Within 12–24 Months

He framed the AI investment surge as a classic cycle in which enthusiasm outruns returns.

Overview

  • Speaking at Italian Tech Week in Turin on Friday, Solomon said a pullback in equities within the next one to two years would not surprise him.
  • He likened the current AI-driven rally to the dot-com era, noting that markets often outpace real-world potential during major technology shifts.
  • AI enthusiasm has helped lift major indexes to record highs as investors channel funds into companies such as Microsoft, Alphabet, Palantir and Nvidia.
  • Solomon said investors are out on the risk curve, warning that a meaningful share of capital likely will not generate returns, prompting a future reset.
  • At the same event, Jeff Bezos described AI as an “industrial bubble,” while Solomon maintained confidence in AI’s long-term impact despite near-term risks.