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Goldman and Morgan Stanley Chiefs Warn of 10%–20% Stock Pullback in Next Two Years

The warnings reflect growing unease over AI-driven valuations.

Overview

  • Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said equities are likely to see a 10%–20% drawdown within 12–24 months and described tech valuations as full while advising clients to stay invested and review allocations.
  • Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick said 10%–15% declines should be expected and characterized such pullbacks as healthy rather than crisis-driven.
  • U.S. equity futures fell after the remarks, with the VIX hovering near a recent high as investors reacted to the caution from the bank leaders.
  • The comments follow a year of record-setting, AI-led gains and echo broader warnings from institutions and executives, including the IMF and JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon, about elevated risk.
  • Both banks highlighted Asia as a multi-year opportunity, citing interest in Hong Kong, China, Japan, and India.