Overview
- Spot and futures prices broke above $4,000 per ounce for the first time, leaving gold up roughly 50–52% year to date.
- Safe-haven demand tied to the U.S. government shutdown, expectations for further Fed rate cuts, and political turmoil in France and Japan is propelling the move.
- Central banks continue to add to reserves, and the World Gold Council reports record monthly inflows into gold-backed ETFs in September.
- Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio recommended about a 15% portfolio allocation to gold, with Jeffrey Gundlach having floated as much as 25%.
- The surge is unfolding as investors question frothy AI-linked equities and hedge fiscal and currency risks, even with the dollar firmer on the day.