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Gold Tops $4,000 for First Time as Safe-Haven Demand Strengthens

A surge into physically backed ETFs signals a broader reallocation toward perceived stores of value.

Overview

  • Spot prices climbed to roughly $4,006 and U.S. futures traded above $4,025 early Wednesday, capping a year-to-date gain of about 50% to 53%.
  • Markets priced Federal Reserve rate cuts for October and December after the U.S. government shutdown delayed key data releases, lifting haven demand.
  • Official-sector buying remained firm, with China’s central bank extending an 11‑month accumulation streak alongside strong global central-bank purchases.
  • Physically backed gold ETFs recorded record monthly and quarterly inflows, with about $26 billion added in the third quarter as Western funds led the move; silver neared 1980 highs and bitcoin notched fresh records.
  • Prominent investors urged bigger allocations to bullion, with Ray Dalio recommending around 15% as a hedge, while some analysts cautioned the rapid rally could see pullbacks.