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Gold Surges to Fresh Record Above $3,500 as Rate‑Cut Bets Intensify

Weaker U.S. job‑openings data pushed traders to price a near‑certain September Fed cut.

Overview

  • Spot gold rose 0.8% to $3,562.44 after touching an intraday high of $3,578.50, while December futures climbed 1.2% to about $3,635.50.
  • U.S. JOLTS openings fell by 176,000 to 7.18 million in July, signaling softer labor demand that strengthened expectations for policy easing.
  • According to CME FedWatch, the probability of a 25‑basis‑point cut this month jumped to about 98% from 92% before the data.
  • Analysts cited safe‑haven demand and a weaker dollar as key supports, with some seeing near‑term potential for prices to test roughly $3,600 if current conditions persist.
  • Gains spread across metals, with silver near multi‑year highs (around $41–42/oz), platinum and palladium advancing, and LME copper touching $10,038, its highest since late March.