Overview
- Spot gold hit a record $3,508.50 an ounce on Tuesday and was last near $3,492, while US December futures traded above $3,560.
- India benchmarks also notched highs, with IBJA 24k rates around Rs 1,05,140 per 10g and MCX October futures peaking at Rs 1,05,937.
- Silver topped $40 an ounce for the first time since 2011; MCX December silver approached Rs 1.25 lakh per kg after setting fresh records.
- Markets assign roughly a 90% probability to a 25 bps Fed cut on Sept 17 as a softer dollar, ETF inflows, and central‑bank buying add support.
- Trade and political risks—US tariff actions, a court ruling that left levies in place, and scrutiny of Fed independence—plus a weak rupee and seasonal Indian demand are reinforcing safe‑haven bids ahead of US jobs data and the Fed meeting.