Overview
- Gold hovered near $4,000 and posted a second weekly decline, falling more than 8% from its October peak above $4,380 as the stronger dollar weighed.
- The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, and Chair Jerome Powell said a December move is not assured, pulling CME cut odds down to about 74.8% from roughly 91% a week earlier.
- A one‑year US–China trade truce featuring partial tariff relief, fentanyl curbs, resumed US soybean purchases and continued rare‑earth exports eased safe‑haven demand.
- World Gold Council data showed record Q3 demand at 1,313 tonnes, driven by $26 billion in ETF inflows and a quarter‑over‑quarter rise in central‑bank purchases.
- Regional dynamics diverged as Indian dealers shifted to discounts after festivals around ₹121,500 per 10g, Pakistan’s benchmark price rose to Rs424,162 per tola, and gold remains up about 50% this year.