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Gold Sets New Highs As Bitcoin Steadies Near $111,000 After Liquidity Shock

Traders face conflicting signals, from capitulation metrics to falling exchange supply.

Overview

  • Gold logged its biggest weekly gain since 2020 and touched an intraday record near $4,380 per ounce, with analysts citing central‑bank buying, strong ETF inflows, trade tensions and rate‑cut expectations.
  • Bitcoin rebounded to about $110,500–$111,000 on Monday after sliding below $105,000 late last week, recovering from a roughly $19 billion leveraged wipeout that followed a two‑week drop from record highs.
  • Market microstructure shows stress, including a multi‑year low Taker Buy Ratio near 0.47, short‑term holders realizing losses near $750 million per day, and reports of more than 51,000 BTC sent from miners to exchanges.
  • Accumulation signals are building as exchange balances fall to a six‑year low with over 45,000 BTC withdrawn since early October, whales add tens of thousands of coins to cold wallets, and analysts flag rare BTC/Gold ratio bottom readings.
  • Futures pricing points to a near‑certain Federal Reserve rate cut on October 29, while renewed USChina tariff risks and regional‑bank concerns support safe‑haven demand and fuel a split between buy‑the‑dip calls and warnings of further downside.