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Gold Retreats From Records After Biggest Drop in Years

Traders watch U.S. inflation data to determine direction following an overbought surge.

Overview

  • Gold plunged roughly 5–6% on Tuesday after peaking near $4,380 per ounce, silver fell up to 8.7%, and prices whipsawed on Wednesday around $4,090–$4,150.
  • Analysts cited profit-taking, stretched technicals, a firmer dollar, easing U.S.–China trade tensions, and the end of India’s festive buying as key drivers of the reversal.
  • The lack of weekly CFTC positioning data during the U.S. government shutdown reduced market transparency, while record activity in gold ETF options highlighted elevated volatility.
  • Risk appetite rotated elsewhere as Bitcoin and Ethereum rose while gold slid, and shares of gold miners and broader equities softened on valuation concerns.
  • Despite the setback, many strategists still see a constructive medium-term path for bullion, with consolidation around the $4,000 area and forecasts reaching about $4,600–$5,000 next year dependent on Fed policy and inflation.