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Gold Nears Record on Fed Rate-Cut Bets and Middle East Tensions

Softer US inflation readings fueling Fed rate-cut bets have boosted bullion’s safe-haven appeal.

Spot silver prices have surged 24% this year.
Gold has surged almost 27% this year.
Gold prices rose again on Thursday, pushed up by Middle East tensions and a cooler-than-expected U.S. inflation report for May.
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Overview

  • Spot gold reached $3,382.06 an ounce on June 12, putting it close to all-time highs.
  • May’s underlying US inflation rose less than expected for a fourth consecutive month, strengthening market expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
  • Traders now assign an 80% probability to a September rate reduction and anticipate a second cut by October.
  • Reports of a potential Israeli operation against Iran and subsequent US embassy staff relocations in Iraq intensified haven demand for bullion.
  • Platinum has surged over 40% this year as tight physical supplies driven by strong Chinese demand have created a market deficit.