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Gold Near $3,600 as Rate-Cut Bets, Soft Dollar and Central-Bank Buying Lift Demand

Ray Dalio’s 10–15% allocation call highlights a shift toward gold as a portfolio stabilizer.

Overview

  • Spot bullion recently traded around $3,678 per ounce, holding near multi-year highs on continued safe-haven demand.
  • Mirabaud analysts cite five supports for further strength: likely Federal Reserve cuts, potential inflation from tariffs, a weaker dollar, persistent official-sector purchases, and ongoing geopolitical risks.
  • Ray Dalio advised keeping roughly 10%–15% of portfolios in gold, pointing to rising U.S. debt loads and broader market fragilities discussed at an Abu Dhabi panel.
  • Investor access spans physical bars and coins with storage costs, gold-focused ETFs for liquid exposure, mining stocks with added company risk, and derivatives suited to experienced traders.
  • Country rules and flows matter, with Spain granting VAT exemptions to high‑purity investment gold and Ámbito reporting ETF gold holdings roughly equal to 65% of Argentina’s GDP.