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Gold Holds Above $4,000 Record as Rate-Cut Bets and Safety Flows Power Precious Metals

Markets now test the rally’s durability after a $4,059 intraday peak with silver nearing $50.

Overview

  • Spot bullion steadied near $4,038 on Thursday after setting an all-time high around $4,059 a day earlier, with December futures trading slightly lower.
  • Federal Reserve minutes reinforced expectations for two more cuts this year, with markets pricing a 25-basis-point move in October at about 94% and another in December near 79%.
  • Analysts cite persistent central-bank buying and surging inflows to gold-backed ETFs—about $64 billion year-to-date per World Gold Council data—as key pillars of demand.
  • Safe-haven interest has been fueled by the U.S. government shutdown and political uncertainty in Japan and France, though a reported IsraelHamas ceasefire phase prompted some profit-taking.
  • Silver outpaced gold this year and briefly set a fresh high near $49.57, with platinum and palladium also advancing alongside the broader precious-metals rally.