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Gold Extends Slide as Stronger Dollar, Lower Odds of December Fed Cut Pressure Bullion

Traders await Fed minutes for policy cues following weeks of data disruptions.

Overview

  • Spot gold fell for a fourth straight session, hovering near $4,020–$4,040 an ounce as the dollar held firm and speculative positions were trimmed.
  • Market-implied odds of a December rate cut slipped into the low–mid 40% range after hawkish signals from Federal Reserve officials, including Vice Chair Philip Jefferson’s call to proceed slowly.
  • India’s MCX December gold futures dropped about 1.4–1.5% to roughly Rs 1,21,120–1,21,141 per 10 grams, with city retail rates easing across major hubs.
  • Pakistan’s benchmark rate fell by Rs 7,000 to Rs 423,662 per tola, while silver also weakened, with MCX contracts down over Rs 3,600 per kg and global prices near $50 an ounce.
  • Despite recent losses, gold remains up roughly 50–55% this year, supported by sustained central-bank purchases and ETF inflows, with the delayed September jobs report seen as the next key catalyst.