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Gold Correction Splits Diwali Demand as Global Cues Keep Prices Volatile

Falling domestic rates together with swings in US jobs, the dollar and yields are leaving buyers and jewellers unsure about whether prices will hold or fall further.

Overview

  • Indian gold has corrected sharply from a January peak near ₹1.95 lakh per 10 grams to about ₹1.43–1.44 lakh by early November, changing market psychology for festive buyers.
  • International bullion staged a strong midweek rally this week that left Comex roughly 4.5% higher for the week before late selling.
  • Stronger-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls on Friday lifted the dollar and Treasury yields, which triggered the late-week pullback and raised near-term uncertainty for gold prices.
  • Retail demand in India is split: some local jewellers such as those in Ludhiana reported about a 40% fall in Dhanteras sales, while Mumbai's Zaveri Bazaar and major chains reported footfall up roughly 25–40% driven by festival and wedding buying.
  • Buyers are shifting toward lightweight jewellery, small coins and exchanges of old gold, and analysts say near-term volatility will be set by US–Iran developments, upcoming global inflation prints, crude oil moves and Fed commentary.