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Godfather of AI Warns of White-Collar Job Collapse and Human Extinction Risk

Quantifying a 10–20% chance of human extinction by superintelligent AI, Hinton argues that automation of cognitive tasks leaves manual trades like plumbing among the few safe careers.

Overview

  • Hinton predicts that routine intellectual tasks could be entirely replaced by AI and says paralegals and call center workers should be "terrified."
  • He disputes that AI will create sufficient new roles, warning that AI-assisted productivity may leave one person doing the work of ten.
  • While manual trades requiring physical manipulation—plumbing chief among them—are unlikely to be automated soon, most white-collar professions face rapid displacement.
  • Beyond job losses, he highlights short-term dangers from AI-driven cyberattacks, misinformation and autonomous weapons, and long-term threats from superintelligent systems designing biological risks.
  • Urging swift AI safety research and policy measures, he also advises individuals to diversify assets and back up data to guard against emerging AI-enabled threats.