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Global Temperatures Poised to Breach 1.5C Warming Benchmark in 2024

As the world approaches the critical 1.5C mark, scientists warn of the catastrophic impacts of each fraction of a degree of warming.

  • The UK's Met Office warns that 2024's average global temperature could breach the 1.5 degrees Celsius warming benchmark, a key planetary warming threshold.
  • The 1.5C warming target, adopted in Paris in 2015, remains central to global climate talks, despite some scientists and activists deeming it increasingly unattainable.
  • Current trends and an expected acceleration from an ongoing El Niño climate pattern suggest that in 2024, global temperatures could average between 1.34 and 1.58 degrees Celsius above preindustrial norms.
  • The speed at which the planet is approaching the 1.5C mark is raising alarm, with some scientists arguing that the goal is virtually inconceivable without dramatic and immediate emissions cuts.
  • The world is on course to warm by 2.4-2.7C by mid-century, and well over 3C by 2100, with each fraction of a degree having significant impacts on human mortality, ecosystem destruction, and food supplies.
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