Overview
- ECFR surveyed 25,949 people across 21 countries in November, with findings released on January 15.
- Majorities in many places expect China’s influence to grow over the next decade, including 54% of Americans, 53% of EU respondents, 51% of Indians, and 72% of Brazilians.
- The share describing the United States as an ally has fallen in most locations; only in India does a majority (54%) still see the U.S. as an ally sharing values and interests, compared with 25% in the UK and 16% across 10 EU countries polled.
- Many publics anticipate closer national ties with China within five years—71% in South Africa and 52% in Brazil—and majorities labeling China an adversary are largely confined to South Korea and Ukraine.
- The report’s authors say the results point to an end of the old order and a tilt toward multipolarity, a shift coverage links to Trump’s tariffs and skepticism of traditional alliances.