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Global Study Finds Extreme Heat Drives Mood Declines, Hitting Poorer Nations Hardest

Researchers analyzed 1.2 billion social-media posts across 157 countries to quantify heat-linked shifts in sentiment.

Overview

  • The peer-reviewed paper, published in One Earth, links very hot days to more negative expressed sentiment worldwide and makes its dataset publicly available.
  • Sentiment drops intensify above roughly 35°C, with about a 25% decline in lower- and middle-income countries versus about 8% in higher-income countries using a World Bank income cutoff.
  • The team processed posts from Twitter and Weibo using BERT across 65 languages, aggregating results to 2,988 locations and matching them to local weather.
  • Long-range modeling that assumes some adaptation projects about a 2.3% worsening in emotional well-being from high temperatures by 2100.
  • Authors note social-media users underrepresent children and older adults, who may be more vulnerable to heat, underscoring the need for adaptation and mental-health planning.