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Global State-Based Conflicts Hit Highest Level Since World War II, PRIO Finds

Researchers say a surge in interstate fighting and deliberate attacks on civilians points to a structural shift in global violence that will strain aid and diplomacy.

Overview

  • The Peace Research Institute Oslo and the Uppsala Conflict Data Program published the 'Conflict Trends' report on June 9, 2026, showing 65 state-involved conflicts in 2025, the most recorded since 1946.
  • Interstate wars doubled to eight in 2025, with active state-on-state clashes including RussiaUkraine, IndiaPakistan border incidents, AfghanistanPakistan skirmishes, and fights involving Israel and neighbouring states.
  • UCDP estimates roughly 244,600–245,000 battle-related deaths in 2025, making it the third-deadliest post‑Cold War year, and notes methodological uncertainty in exact counts.
  • One-sided killings of civilians jumped sharply to about 76,500 deaths, a rise driven largely by mass killings after the capture of El-Fasher in Darfur and heavy civilian harm in Gaza and Sudan.
  • Researchers warn the concentration of deaths in a few high-casualty wars, the rise in multi-front state engagements, and early 2026 indicators suggest the elevated intensity of conflict may persist and will test humanitarian and diplomatic systems.