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Global Poll Finds China Seen Ascendant as U.S. Ally Image Fades Under Trump

An ECFR survey across 21 countries depicts a shift toward a more multipolar order driven by public perceptions of Chinese momentum.

Overview

  • The ECFR surveyed 25,949 respondents across 21 countries in November 2025.
  • Majorities in many countries expect China’s global influence to grow over the next decade, including 54% in the U.S., 53% in the EU, 51% in India and 72% in Brazil.
  • Most respondents say China leads in key industries such as renewable technology and electric vehicles.
  • The share viewing the U.S. as an ally has fallen in most places, with India the only country where a majority still sees Washington as a values-sharing partner.
  • Perceptions of China as an ally or necessary partner have risen in South Africa, Brazil and India, while only South Korea and Ukraine show majorities calling China a rival or adversary.