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Global Oil Prices Stabilize Following U.S. Tariffs and OPEC Demand Downgrade

Slower Chinese growth led OPEC to cut its global oil demand forecasts for 2026–2029.

A drone view of a pump jack and drilling rig south of Midland, Texas, U.S. June 11, 2025. REUTERS/Eli Hartman/ File Photo
A view shows oil pump jacks outside Almetyevsk in the Republic of Tatarstan, Russia June 4, 2023. REUTERS/Alexander Manzyuk/ File Photo
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Overview

  • Oil prices steadied early Friday with Brent at $68.83 and WTI at $66.83 per barrel after a more than 2% drop on tariff and demand concerns.
  • President Trump announced a 35% tariff on Canadian imports starting August 1 and signaled broader levies on Brazil and key metals, stoking worries about global growth.
  • OPEC trimmed its medium-term outlook by projecting 106.3 million barrels per day in 2026 demand, down from last year’s 108 million forecast, while extending growth through 2029.
  • U.S. crude inventories unexpectedly rose by 7.1 million barrels to 426 million for the week ended July 4 even as gasoline consumption jumped 6% to 9.2 million barrels per day.
  • Renewed Houthi militia attacks in the Red Sea sank two ships this week, rescuers pulled six crew members alive and 15 remain missing, lifting shipping risk premiums.