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Global Oil Market Faces Surplus Amid Weak Demand Growth

The International Energy Agency forecasts an oil glut in 2025 as Chinese demand falters and U.S. production increases.

  • The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts a global oil surplus of over 1 million barrels per day in 2025 due to weak demand and rising production.
  • China's demand growth has significantly slowed, contributing to the bearish outlook, as the country shifts towards electric vehicles and cleaner energy sources.
  • The stronger U.S. dollar is putting downward pressure on oil prices, making commodities more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
  • OPEC+ has delayed plans to ease production cuts, but the potential unwinding of these cuts in 2025 could further depress oil prices.
  • The U.S. Energy Information Administration has raised its oil output forecasts, with U.S. production expected to reach a record 13.23 million barrels per day this year.
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