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Global Markets Tread Carefully as Iran-Israel Ceasefire Holds

Investors weigh risks from fragile geopolitics alongside looming US-EU tariff clashes following the truce.

Un opérateur à la Bourse de New York, le 23 juin 2025
La salle de contrôle d'Euronext, société qui gère la Bourse de Paris
Des opérateurs à la Bourse de New York le 23 juin 2025
Un opérateur à la Bourse de New York, le 23 juin 2025

Overview

  • A truce brokered by President Trump between Iran and Israel has remained in effect since June 24, and the White House announced the resumption of US-Iran nuclear talks next week under cautious observation.
  • After a sharp rally on the ceasefire announcement, global equities entered a consolidation phase, with Paris’s CAC 40 up 0.3% on June 25 and US benchmarks trading near equilibrium.
  • US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told Congress there is no urgency to lower interest rates, steering investor focus toward upcoming US PCE inflation figures and first-quarter GDP revisions.
  • European markets are also grappling with renewed trade uncertainty as EU Commissioner Stéphane Séjourné warned of potential retaliatory measures if US tariffs linger beyond the July 9 deadline.
  • Worldline stock tumbled over 35% following an international investigation that accused the payment processor of handling billions in dubious transactions, highlighting corporate governance risks.