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Global Markets Respond to Cooling Inflation and Potential Rate Cuts

The Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation holds steady, prompting expectations of rate cuts and impacting global financial markets.

  • Global oil prices extended losses after a drop of more than 2 per cent overnight as voluntary oil output cuts by OPEC+ producers for the first quarter next year fell short of market expectations.
  • Data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending rose moderately in October, while the annual increase in inflation was the smallest in more than 2-1/2 years.
  • The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, held steady on the month and fell to a 3 percent annual increase in October, down from 3.4 percent increases in the previous three months.
  • Markets are pricing in a 97 per cent chance of the Fed standing pat in its December meeting, with a 42 per cent chance of a rate cut in March next year.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied Thursday to a new high for the year, with soft inflation data and strong Salesforce earnings capping the benchmark's best month since October 2022.
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