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Global Manufacturing Faces Strain as U.S. Tariffs Reshape Trade Dynamics

Recent data shows contractions in key economies like China, Japan, and the UK, while Ireland bucks the trend with manufacturing growth.

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Shipping containers at the Port of Los Angeles on April 3. The latest US GDP report showed that goods imports rose by 51% in the first quarter, the fastest pace since 2020.
Stacked containers are seen at an industrial port in Tokyo, Japan February 15, 2024.  REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo
Members of staff work on a car production at the Morgan Motor Company factory in Malvern, Britain, May 12, 2023. REUTERS/Andrew Boyers/File Photo

Overview

  • China's official PMI dropped to 49.0 in April, signaling manufacturing contraction, with analysts attributing the decline to U.S. tariffs and cooling external demand.
  • The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, driven by a 41% surge in pre-tariff imports, marking the first GDP decline since 2022.
  • UK manufacturing PMI fell to 45.4 in April, reflecting a sharp drop in factory exports due to U.S. tariffs and weakening global demand.
  • Ireland's manufacturing PMI rose to 53.0, its highest since June 2022, though respondents noted delays in major investment decisions due to tariff uncertainty.
  • President Trump's 90-day tariff pause and China's selective exemptions have provided temporary relief, but trade policy uncertainty continues to weigh on global economic sentiment.