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Global Manufacturing Faces Diverging Trends as Tariff Uncertainty Looms

Russia and UK manufacturing contract sharply, while Germany and euro zone show early signs of recovery ahead of U.S. tariff announcement.

A general view of a production line in a Volkswagen plant in Emden, Germany September 20, 2024. REUTERS/Fabian Bimmer/File Photo
A worker assembles a new bike frame at the Pashley bicycle factory in Stratford-upon-Avon, Britain, June 30, 2022. REUTERS/Phil Noble/File photo
A general view of a manufacturing installation at the powders and explosives company Eurenco plant in Bergerac, southwestern France April 11, 2024. LUDOVIC MARIN/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo
A person walks by as workers build wind turbine blades at the Nordex blades factory in Lumbier, Spain, March 18, 2024. REUTERS/Vincent West/File Photo

Overview

  • Russia's manufacturing sector saw its sharpest contraction in nearly three years in March, with the PMI falling to 48.2 due to weak domestic and export demand.
  • The UK's manufacturing PMI dropped to 44.9, its lowest since October 2023, driven by declining export orders and domestic tax pressures.
  • Germany's manufacturing PMI rose to 48.3, its highest since August 2022, as production increased for the first time in nearly two years, bolstered by restocking and pre-tariff orders.
  • The euro zone's manufacturing PMI climbed to 48.6, showing initial recovery signs with output rising for the first time in two years, though concerns remain over potential U.S. tariff impacts.
  • Manufacturers globally are bracing for U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff announcement on April 2, which is expected to reshape trade flows and manufacturing sentiment.