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Global Manufacturing Diverges in August as U.S. and Canada Shrink, Singapore Reaches 50

Tariff uncertainty and rising input costs weigh on output, leaving AI-linked electronics as a rare support.

Overview

  • The U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI rose to 48.7 in August, marking a sixth month of contraction even as the new orders index climbed back into expansion at 51.4.
  • U.S. factory production slipped to 47.8 and prices paid stayed high at 63.7, with surveys noting accelerated headcount reductions and slower supplier deliveries.
  • Canada’s S&P Global manufacturing PMI improved to 48.3 from 46.1, though output, new orders and employment still fell as firms cited weaker U.S. demand tied to tariffs.
  • Canadian input costs quickened, with the input price index up to 61.6, and employment declined for a seventh month through layoffs and non-replacement of departures.
  • Singapore’s official PMI ticked up to 50.0, with electronics at 50.4 and stronger new orders and exports, yet forward business expectations and employment remained in contraction.