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Global CO₂ Budget for 1.5°C Threshold to Run Out in Three Years

Last year marked the first time global temperatures topped 1.5°C above preindustrial levels, underscoring the speed of warming

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Das Erreichen des Klimaziels von einem globalen Temperaturanstieg um höchstens 1,5 Grad wird immer unwahrscheinlicher. Das dafür verbleibende Kohlenstoffbudget sei so gering wie nie zuvor, heißt es einem Zwischenbericht zum Klimawandel.
Wasserdampf steigt im Sonnenuntergang am frühen Abend aus den Kühltürmen des Braunkohlekraftwerks Jänschwalde.
Dächer überfluteter Häuser aus der Vogelperspektive betrachtet

Overview

  • Scientists estimate only 130 billion tons of CO₂ remain before the 1.5°C threshold is breached.
  • At current emissions of roughly 42–43 billion tons per year, that budget will be exhausted in about three years.
  • The global average temperature in 2024 reached 1.52°C above preindustrial levels for the first time.
  • Atmospheric CO₂ concentrations hit 423–429 ppm—a peak not seen in two million years—and sea levels rose 26 mm between 2019 and 2024, more than twice the 20th-century rate.
  • Experts warn that the 1.5°C target remains achievable in theory only if global emissions are slashed rapidly in the coming years.