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Global Climate Overshoot: Navigating the Risks and Realities

With the 1.5°C threshold breached for a year, experts warn of irreversible impacts and the need for rapid emissions cuts.

  • Scientists confirm global temperatures have stayed above the 1.5°C pre-industrial threshold for 12 consecutive months, surpassing the Paris Agreement target.
  • The concept of 'overshoot,' where temperatures temporarily exceed limits before being reduced, is becoming mainstream in climate policy discussions.
  • Recent studies highlight significant uncertainties and irreversible impacts associated with overshooting the 1.5°C limit, including sea-level rise and ecosystem loss.
  • Current climate models suggest that substantial CO2 removal capacity is needed to mitigate higher-than-expected warming and potential tipping points.
  • Experts advocate for rapid emissions reductions and enhanced CO2 removal strategies to minimize long-term climate risks and ensure a sustainable future.
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