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Global Bond Yields Surge to Multiyear Highs, Raising Economic Concerns

A combination of inflation fears, fiscal policies, and global market trends is driving bond yields higher, impacting borrowing costs and financial markets worldwide.

  • UK government borrowing costs have risen sharply, with 10-year gilt yields reaching 4.9%, their highest level since 2008, and 30-year yields hitting 5.4%.
  • Experts attribute the rise in yields to global factors, including U.S. fiscal policies under President-elect Donald Trump, which are expected to fuel inflation and increase deficit spending.
  • Domestically, the UK's increased gilt issuance, persistent inflation, and reduced expectations for Bank of England rate cuts are contributing to rising borrowing costs.
  • Higher bond yields are pressuring equity markets, raising corporate borrowing costs, and potentially slowing economic growth by increasing mortgage and credit rates.
  • Economists suggest fiscal discipline, economic growth, or spending cuts as potential measures to stabilize yields, though global trends may limit the effectiveness of such actions.
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