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Global Birthrates Decline, Signaling Impending Population Decrease

As birthrates fall worldwide, societies face the challenge of adapting to a future with fewer younger generations and more elderly dependents.

Image
Rear view of eleven-year-old girl looking down school corridor.
Francisco Castillo, age 1, smiles as his mother, Liliana Mendoza, helps him stand as they enjoy a warm day at the Dallas Arboretum and Botanical Garden in Dallas, Feb. 27, 2024.

Overview

  • Global population growth is expected to peak around 10 billion in the coming decades before starting a long-term decline.
  • Falling birthrates present complex challenges for sustaining flourishing societies, including shrinking workforces and increased pressure on social services.
  • The United States and other countries are exploring policies to address declining birthrates, including immigration and pro-natal programs.
  • Economies worldwide must adapt to demographic changes, with potential impacts on productivity, skill shortages, and reliance on technology.
  • Environmental and sustainability benefits are seen in a shrinking global population, but focused collaboration is needed to address the challenges.