Overview
- Kansas City enters as the week’s biggest favorite over the Raiders, with ESPN Analytics and Mike Clay’s model assigning the Chiefs roughly 79% to 89% win odds.
- Seven of 15 NFL matchups carry spreads around a field goal and only one game tops a touchdown, elevating reliance on exact-score projections, model parlays and survivor guidance.
- Tennessee fired head coach Brian Callahan with Mike McCoy stepping in as interim, and New England is priced around a 7-point road favorite at BetMGM for Sunday in Nashville.
- Thursday night opens with Pittsburgh at Cincinnati with the Steelers favored by about 5.5 points, as the Bengals’ post-Burrow slide and trends point analysts toward Pittsburgh and higher totals.
- College update: Penn State removed James Franklin, installed Terry Smith as interim and will start Ethan Grunkemeyer at Iowa, with ESPN Analytics listing a 48.2% win probability for the Nittany Lions.