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Giants-Raiders 'Tank Bowl' Recasts No. 1 Pick Race as Odds Swing to New York

Key absences shifted sportsbooks toward New York.

Overview

  • Both teams enter Week 17 at 2-13, and the loser is viewed as having the inside track to the No. 1 pick in the 2026 NFL Draft based on current projections.
  • The Giants’ official injury report listed Andrew Thomas, Evan Neal, Tyler Nubin, Beaux Collins and D.J. Davidson out, with John Michael Schmitz doubtful and several others questionable.
  • The Raiders placed Brock Bowers and Jeremy Chinn on injured reserve, ruled Maxx Crosby out for season-ending knee surgery, and kept tackle Kolton Miller sidelined, with FOX’s Jay Glazer reporting Crosby disagreed with being shut down.
  • Sportsbooks flipped the favorite after the injury news, with Boomer’s moving from Raiders -1.5 to Giants -2.5 and the Westgate SuperBook listing New York -2.
  • Draft scenarios outlined by The Sporting News indicate the Giants can secure control of the top pick by continuing to lose due to a weaker strength of schedule, while the Raiders need two losses plus a Giants win, with Week 18 featuring Las Vegas vs. the Chiefs and New York vs. the Cowboys.