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Giants Move to No. 1 in 2026 NFL Draft Order as Raiders Rise to No. 2

Simulations now rate Las Vegas most likely to finish first despite New York’s current tiebreaker edge.

Overview

  • After Week 14, New York, Las Vegas and Tennessee are tied at 2-11, with Tankathon listing SOS tiebreakers of .534 for the Giants, .548 for the Raiders and .573 for the Titans.
  • The reshuffle followed Titans and Saints upsets and a Raiders loss to the Broncos, while the Giants were idle on their bye.
  • The Athletic’s simulator gives the Raiders the best chance to land the top pick at roughly 44%, with the Titans around 21% and the Giants in single digits in some models.
  • The Week 17 Giants–Raiders game is highlighted as a potential decider for the No. 1 selection given identical records and remaining schedules.
  • Cleveland sits fourth at 3-10 and could factor into the top-pick race if the 2-11 trio adds wins, while coverage links QB-needy Las Vegas to prospects such as Fernando Mendoza and Dante Moore.