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Giants Hold No. 1 in 2026 Draft Order After Week 14 as Raiders Rise

A simulator from The Athletic projects Las Vegas with the best chance to end up with the top pick based on the remaining schedule.

Overview

  • The current Tankathon order places New York No. 1 over Las Vegas and Tennessee at identical 2-11 records due to SOS tiebreakers (.534 for the Giants, .548 Raiders, .573 Titans).
  • Las Vegas jumped from fourth to second on Sunday after the Titans and Saints won and the Raiders lost to Denver, setting up a Week 17 meeting at the Giants that could swing the top slot.
  • Tennessee dropped from first to third despite beating Cleveland, creating a three-way tie at 2-11 that is being sorted by strength-of-schedule.
  • The Athletic’s simulator gives the Raiders a 44% chance to finish with the No. 1 pick, with the Titans at 21% and the Giants much lower at about 8%.
  • Cleveland moved to No. 4 after Week 14 and currently also holds Jacksonville’s first-rounder at No. 27, with each contender’s remaining slate now in sharper focus.