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Germany’s Unemployment Nears Three Million Mark as IAB Barometer Shows Modest Recovery

Energy prices, structural problems alongside weak global demand keep unemployment on track to exceed three million this summer

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Overview

  • IAB researchers predict Germany’s jobless count will briefly exceed three million during the summer months.
  • May’s unemployment figure stood at 2.919 million, reflecting sustained weakness in the labor market.
  • The IAB labor market barometer climbed 0.2 points in June to 99.1, marking its third consecutive monthly rise below the 100-point neutral threshold.
  • The barometer’s unemployment outlook component remained in negative territory at 97.8 despite a marginal increase.
  • The employment forecast measure rose to 100.4 points, signaling a slight positive trend amid expectations of only gradual gains.