Overview
- Since the rebate began on October 1, the DIW estimates about 67% of the 16.7‑cent per‑litre cut has reached consumers, with pass‑through narrowing to roughly 9 cents in recent days.
- The Ifo Institute finds slightly larger pass‑through by fuel type — about 13 cents for E10, 14.7 cents for E15 and 13.5 cents for diesel between October 7–13 — but still short of the full tax cut.
- The Bundeskartellamt reports that the tax cut has largely reached refineries and wholesalers but not completely, and it says the shortfall is bigger for petrol than for diesel.
- The fuels industry association en2x rejects foreign price comparisons and says changing costs such as biofuel obligations and Rhine transport problems explain some price moves; DIW’s estimates use France as a comparator because France has no rebate.
- The measure will cost about €2.5 billion to governments, Germany’s pump prices remain high by EU standards, and motorists lose roughly €1–2 in promised savings on a 50‑litre fill‑up when the full cut is not passed on.